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Red112
13545.6
23452.7
386510.9
Blue61
314715.6
29226.7
448519.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10151015020011261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
52.70.3
48.648.8
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 25.9
292
#14
26.70.0
26.526.5
Auto0.4
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
135
#3
45.60.3
41.541.8
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 26.6
4485
#21
19.10.0
18.818.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.90.3
6.87.1
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3147
#26
15.60.0
15.315.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0