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Red114
82932.8
7141.6
286714.5
Blue37
176012.0
152927.3
318016.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8948010015020011437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
41.60.5
40.741.1
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 14.3
1529
#11
27.30.3
27.627.3
Auto1.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
829
#9
32.80.5
31.832.3
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 16.8
3180
#18
16.00.3
16.316.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2867
#19
14.50.5
13.614.0
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
1760
#27
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0