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Red120
13545.6
23452.7
386510.9
Blue108
349431.2
540227.4
498222.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9966050150200120108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
52.70.4
48.849.2
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 21.5
3494
#13
31.20.6
28.729.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
135
#3
45.60.4
41.842.2
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 18.2
5402
#12
27.40.6
24.925.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.90.4
7.17.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 11.4
4982
#17
22.30.6
19.820.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0