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Red108
82932.8
13545.6
10740.1
Blue74
102446.5
48249.3
7141.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627605010015020025010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#3
45.63.4
19.723.1
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
46.50.2
41.441.6
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
107
#5
40.12.1
27.529.6
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
71
#6
41.60.3
24.224.5
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Third
829
#9
32.82.1
19.521.6
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 23.5
4824
#28
9.30.3
10.711.0
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0