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Red23
4524.5
314715.6
423413.8
Blue86
23452.7
410333.7
400812.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33760501001502002386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#15
24.51.5
17.115.6
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 28.1
234
#1
52.70.7
35.536.2
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
3147
#26
15.60.9
17.216.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 18.1
4103
#10
33.70.7
26.727.4
Auto0.2
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
4234
#20
13.80.9
6.55.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 1.8
4008
#22
12.00.7
10.010.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0