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Red74
458013.6
29226.7
7141.6
Blue38
39369.6
400812.0
498222.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77400501001502007438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
41.60.0
39.038.9
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 19.3
4982
#17
22.30.5
21.621.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
292
#14
26.70.0
23.923.9
Auto0.4
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 14.8
4008
#22
12.00.5
12.311.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
4580
#24
13.60.0
11.711.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
3936
#31
9.60.7
13.713.0
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.0