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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5627040801001201401605931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#9
32.80.3
31.631.8
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 16.8
3180
#18
16.00.1
15.315.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
4008
#22
12.00.3
11.812.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2867
#19
14.50.1
9.59.5
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.90.3
10.510.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
4791
#30
8.60.1
7.57.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.9
End0.0