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Red101
4524.5
7141.6
540227.4
Blue113
152927.3
176012.0
172038.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371050100150101113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
41.61.7
38.940.6
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 3.1
38.52.0
38.240.2
Auto0.6
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
5402
#12
27.41.7
18.119.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
1529
#11
27.32.0
23.925.9
Auto1.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
45
#15
24.51.7
18.520.2
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 12.6
1760
#27
12.02.6
11.414.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0