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Red44
498222.3
219717.1
423413.8
Blue102
492612.9
4524.5
82932.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2548010015044102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#17
22.30.7
16.216.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 10.5
829
#9
32.82.8
21.624.4
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
2197
#16
17.11.2
7.58.8
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
45
#15
24.54.7
15.620.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
4234
#20
13.80.7
5.66.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 0.9
4926
#23
12.92.8
8.711.5
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0