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Red78
458016.8
518847.4
427213.8
Blue68
7144.2
393614.3
286730.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606801001502002503003507868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
33.934.6
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
71
#12
44.20.1
41.341.2
Auto0.8
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
4580
#31
16.80.7
13.714.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 13.5
2867
#10
30.30.1
18.618.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
4272
#36
13.80.7
15.916.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3936
#26
14.30.1
9.19.1
Auto0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0