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Red14
540225.4
219724.4
348716.1
Blue65
479111.9
101820.4
394740.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67490204060801001201401465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#39
25.41.7
24.122.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 14.6
40.00.6
28.328.9
Auto0.7
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
2197
#20
24.41.7
21.720.0
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
1018
#23
20.40.6
18.118.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
3487
#34
16.11.7
20.318.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
4791
#38
11.90.6
6.77.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0