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Red32
479111.9
86835.1
317620.3
Blue61
29233.8
482413.2
174731.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048204060801003261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
35.10.9
21.120.2
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 1.3
292
#15
33.80.4
26.727.2
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
3176
#25
20.30.9
19.418.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 10.9
1747
#18
31.10.4
16.416.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
4791
#38
11.90.9
8.67.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4824
#30
13.20.4
9.39.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0