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Red67
458016.8
286730.3
219724.4
Blue48
317620.3
540322.6
164618.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801006748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#10
30.30.5
22.522.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 7.7
5403
#17
22.60.6
18.618.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2197
#20
24.40.5
21.722.2
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.2
3176
#25
20.30.6
23.923.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4580
#31
16.80.5
13.614.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1646
#24
18.60.6
17.717.1
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0