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Red89
394740.0
46130.8
82935.2
Blue19
4530.4
23609.5
386513.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984301508919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.2
32.632.4
Auto0.7
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 9.6
45
#16
30.41.4
29.728.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Second
829
#11
35.20.2
34.734.5
Auto0.2
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 21.7
3865
#28
13.51.4
10.69.2
Auto0.5
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
461
#9
30.80.2
26.125.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 21.3
2360
#37
9.51.4
13.011.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.3
End0.0