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Red82
152922.5
219724.4
482413.2
Blue164
46130.8
518847.4
150146.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312005010015020082164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#20
24.41.7
19.721.4
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 22.9
47.42.7
39.342.0
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
1529
#33
22.51.7
20.121.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 24.1
46.62.7
45.147.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
4824
#30
13.21.7
7.69.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 17.6
461
#9
30.82.7
25.928.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0