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Red37
174126.0
421115.0
152922.5
Blue101
317620.3
44741.8
219724.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6171010020030040037101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#22
26.00.2
26.626.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 15.8
447
#13
41.81.4
30.832.3
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
1529
#33
22.50.2
21.821.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2197
#20
24.41.4
21.422.9
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4211
#32
15.00.2
16.616.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 5.3
3176
#25
20.31.4
19.821.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0