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Red50
548420.2
176010.7
348716.1
Blue101
219724.4
82935.2
4530.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277905010015050101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#14
20.20.7
4.45.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 15.0
829
#11
35.21.4
32.834.1
Auto0.2
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
3487
#34
16.10.7
21.222.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 14.3
45
#16
30.41.4
23.625.0
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
1760
#35
10.70.7
10.010.7
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 13.8
2197
#20
24.41.4
17.118.5
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0