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Red138
101820.4
518847.4
448532.6
Blue135
484615.3
102454.6
4530.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8189050150200250300350400138135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.42.7
42.044.7
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
blue by 7.2
54.62.2
50.853.0
Auto2.5
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
32.62.7
27.530.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
45
#16
30.42.2
28.330.5
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
1018
#23
20.42.7
15.317.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
4846
#19
15.32.2
11.513.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0