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Red20
421115.0
317620.3
23609.5
Blue102
479111.9
484615.3
518847.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4370010015020020102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#25
20.31.4
21.319.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 27.1
47.41.7
44.746.3
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
4211
#32
15.01.4
16.415.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4846
#19
15.31.7
13.715.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
2360
#37
9.51.4
10.99.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4791
#38
11.91.7
10.211.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0