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Red141
174731.1
44741.8
540225.4
Blue118
518847.4
150146.6
164618.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80113050100150200250141118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#13
41.80.9
38.439.2
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
47.40.1
47.247.3
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
1747
#18
31.10.9
27.728.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 15.5
46.60.1
46.446.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
5402
#39
25.40.9
21.922.8
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
1646
#24
18.60.1
18.418.5
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0