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Red171
3378.2
19582.7
6871.7
Blue290
161977.1
131074.2
246872.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230211150200250300350171290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
82.71.1
83.882.7
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
1619
#26
77.10.7
76.477.1
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
Second
33
#28
78.21.1
79.278.2
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
74.20.7
73.574.2
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
Third
68
#30
71.71.1
72.771.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop72.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
2468
#49
72.90.7
72.272.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0