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Red170
6871.7
251250.2
38458.3
Blue152
403962.6
33081.2
82950.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1722010100300400500170152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#30
71.70.7
73.472.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop72.4
End0.0
blue by 9.5
330
#22
81.22.6
85.182.5
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
Second
384
#42
58.30.7
58.958.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
blue by 4.3
4039
#13
62.62.6
65.262.6
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
Third
2512
#60
50.20.7
50.850.2
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
829
#48
50.62.6
53.150.6
Auto1.4
Teleop49.1
End0.0