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Red140
233756.6
19582.7
118108.0
Blue174
23372.9
102458.1
192323.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26113350100150200300350140174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
108.04.9
106.4101.5
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
red by 35.0
233
#16
72.91.1
66.367.4
Auto9.1
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
195
#4
82.74.9
86.281.3
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
red by 24.7
1024
#56
58.11.1
61.862.9
Auto2.5
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
2337
#45
56.64.9
57.452.5
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 32.7
1923
#67
23.91.1
30.531.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0