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Red270
22573.3
162546.6
131074.2
Blue318
62488.3
382482.0
175688.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154228050100200250300350400270318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.22.5
65.067.5
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
blue by 14.1
624
#11
88.34.7
79.283.9
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
225
#37
73.32.5
70.873.3
Auto2.5
Teleop70.9
End0.0
blue by 14.9
88.24.7
68.673.2
Auto6.2
Teleop82.1
End0.0
Third
1625
#46
46.62.5
36.238.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
blue by 35.4
3824
#24
82.04.7
76.981.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop82.7
End0.0