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Red169
313072.7
2044.3
34062.6
Blue111
164074.4
175688.2
74446.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170194050100150250300350400169111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#47
72.70.5
77.777.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0
blue by 15.5
88.23.7
72.368.6
Auto6.2
Teleop82.1
End0.0
Second
340
#34
62.60.5
60.760.2
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 11.8
1640
#29
74.43.7
71.667.9
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
Third
20
#59
44.30.5
41.340.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
744
#63
46.03.7
53.449.7
Auto0.6
Teleop45.4
End0.0