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Red191
131074.2
192323.9
525471.3
Blue70
50364.7
162546.6
251250.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1681335010015020025030019170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.1
67.568.6
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
red by 9.5
503
#27
64.73.4
53.249.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop65.8
End0.0
Second
5254
#21
71.31.1
69.870.9
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 21.1
2512
#60
50.23.4
52.148.7
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
1923
#67
23.91.1
31.432.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 22.7
1625
#46
46.63.4
38.735.3
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0