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Red202
233878.4
23475.1
22648.4
Blue100
34062.6
192323.9
518855.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19813650100250300202100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.3
66.867.1
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
red by 15.8
340
#34
62.62.6
59.456.9
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
234
#36
75.10.3
72.773.1
Auto7.3
Teleop67.8
End0.0
red by 19.4
5188
#62
55.72.6
59.456.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Third
226
#55
48.40.3
56.056.3
Auto-1.3
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 24.6
1923
#67
23.92.6
32.529.9
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0