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Red286
414366.7
282694.4
541358.6
Blue280
62488.3
161977.1
467859.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210207140160180200220240260280286280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#19
94.43.6
92.495.9
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
624
#11
88.33.4
84.988.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
4143
#31
66.73.6
72.275.8
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
blue by 10.4
1619
#26
77.13.4
72.776.2
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
Third
5413
#25
58.63.6
50.453.9
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4678
#38
59.13.4
59.963.3
Auto9.4
Teleop49.7
End0.0