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Red161
19582.7
313072.7
525471.3
Blue272
174159.9
2056111.8
21757.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226198100150250300161272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
82.73.4
84.280.8
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
blue by 29.0
111.83.1
103.2106.4
Auto8.1
Teleop103.7
End0.0
Second
3130
#47
72.73.4
75.371.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 12.8
1741
#17
59.93.1
52.555.6
Auto1.8
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Third
5254
#21
71.33.4
70.266.7
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
217
#39
57.43.1
54.057.1
Auto1.6
Teleop55.8
End0.0