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Red222
131074.2
10768.8
173090.1
Blue271
33081.2
34062.6
121874.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227192100150250300350222271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.10.1
91.291.1
Auto10.1
Teleop80.0
End0.0
red by 8.9
330
#22
81.23.3
78.782.0
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
Second
74.20.1
69.569.4
Auto7.8
Teleop66.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
1218
#10
74.93.3
69.272.5
Auto1.8
Teleop73.1
End0.0
Third
107
#54
68.80.1
69.369.2
Auto7.8
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
340
#34
62.63.3
56.960.2
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0