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Red278
162546.6
54891.7
74446.0
Blue224
233756.6
282694.4
259070.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155226050100200250300350278224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#14
91.75.3
90.896.1
Auto1.7
Teleop90.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2826
#19
94.40.1
98.898.8
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
Second
1625
#46
46.65.3
35.140.4
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
blue by 23.6
2590
#40
70.20.1
68.968.9
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
Third
744
#63
46.05.3
46.651.9
Auto0.6
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 10.6
2337
#45
56.60.1
55.155.1
Auto3.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0