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Red188
2745.6
22648.4
164074.4
Blue290
50364.7
38458.3
246872.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18415750100200250300188290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#29
74.40.9
75.374.4
Auto2.8
Teleop71.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
2468
#49
72.96.1
63.970.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
226
#55
48.40.9
54.253.3
Auto-1.3
Teleop49.8
End0.0
blue by 16.3
503
#27
64.76.1
51.757.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop65.8
End0.0
Third
27
#66
45.60.9
56.655.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 12.7
384
#42
58.36.1
51.757.8
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0