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Red286
162546.6
3378.2
212291.1
Blue308
171142.0
173090.1
233878.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19220104006008001,0001,2001,400286308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#12
91.14.3
82.586.8
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
90.12.9
92.795.6
Auto10.1
Teleop80.0
End0.0
Second
33
#28
78.24.3
77.381.6
Auto5.4
Teleop72.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
78.42.9
71.174.0
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
Third
1625
#46
46.64.3
40.444.7
Auto-2.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
1711
#61
42.02.9
43.346.3
Auto1.8
Teleop40.2
End0.0