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Red232
261463.2
246872.9
22573.3
Blue257
1658.4
233878.4
19582.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912150100300400232257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#37
73.31.5
71.873.3
Auto2.5
Teleop70.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
195
#4
82.70.7
84.885.4
Auto-3.2
Teleop86.0
End0.0
Second
2468
#49
72.91.5
68.770.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
78.40.7
75.275.9
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
Third
2614
#44
63.21.5
61.763.2
Auto2.3
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 4.8
16
#32
58.40.7
59.360.0
Auto1.0
Teleop57.4
End0.0