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Red254
233878.4
10768.8
212291.1
Blue330
102397.3
2056111.8
180679.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211286100400500254330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#12
91.10.4
88.689.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
blue by 20.6
111.80.4
110.5110.0
Auto8.1
Teleop103.7
End0.0
Second
78.40.4
75.976.3
Auto0.2
Teleop78.2
End0.0
blue by 18.9
1023
#33
97.30.4
96.195.6
Auto9.6
Teleop87.7
End0.0
Third
107
#54
68.80.4
66.266.6
Auto7.8
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1806
#35
79.00.4
77.777.3
Auto0.2
Teleop78.8
End0.0