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Red86
195411.5
333952.0
165739.4
Blue52
267917.9
194217.9
561412.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34280204060801001208652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.04.3
13.818.1
Auto0.1
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 34.1
2679
#18
17.91.9
10.011.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
39.44.3
11.115.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 21.5
1942
#31
17.91.9
11.112.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
1954
#36
11.54.3
9.213.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5614
#41
12.92.5
12.910.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0