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Red2
478422.1
193726.2
46614.9
Blue26
331624.3
57472.6
157727.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28390206080100120140160226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#14
26.20.9
13.712.8
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1577
#13
27.80.6
13.312.7
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
4784
#15
22.10.9
8.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3316
#20
24.30.6
15.314.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
4661
#51
4.90.9
8.07.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
5747
#54
2.60.6
10.19.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0