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Red59
221222.7
529122.6
46614.9
Blue16
567012.1
157615.9
321118.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254301001505916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#10
22.72.5
12.114.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.4
3211
#29
18.32.1
17.715.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
22.62.5
9.612.1
Auto1.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 6.7
1576
#28
15.92.1
8.56.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4661
#51
4.92.5
7.29.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5670
#33
12.12.1
15.313.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0