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Red108
157445.6
432025.3
194317.2
Blue100
223133.7
458626.0
503828.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202080100120140160108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.64.5
24.829.4
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 11.9
33.74.6
13.017.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
25.34.5
16.621.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
28.44.6
19.323.9
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Third
1943
#26
17.24.5
12.016.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 8.9
4586
#12
26.04.6
12.617.2
Auto0.0
Teleop26.0
End0.0