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Red13
527310.7
303418.3
383516.7
Blue16
263021.2
223133.7
46614.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24380501001501316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#30
18.31.2
9.28.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 15.4
33.71.8
11.810.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
3835
#32
16.71.2
8.67.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
2630
#23
21.21.8
15.513.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5273
#48
10.71.2
9.18.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 5.8
4661
#51
4.91.8
9.88.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0