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Red25
571515.5
306527.7
263021.2
Blue64
331624.3
195411.5
223133.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801001202564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#11
27.71.8
20.318.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
33.73.4
17.621.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
2630
#23
21.21.8
13.011.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3316
#20
24.33.4
11.414.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
5715
#37
15.51.8
12.710.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
1954
#36
11.53.4
12.215.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0