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Red30
459012.0
194623.6
567012.1
Blue36
303418.3
503828.4
440614.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344501001503036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
#16
23.60.5
13.013.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 4.8
28.40.3
23.923.6
Auto0.0
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
5670
#33
12.10.5
15.716.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3034
#30
18.30.3
12.512.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4590
#44
12.00.5
7.98.3
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4406
#25
14.20.3
8.68.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0