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Red18
527310.7
561412.9
338822.7
Blue54
571515.5
157727.8
308315.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2537060801001201401601854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3388
#17
22.70.3
8.38.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1577
#13
27.82.0
16.518.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
5614
#41
12.90.3
11.110.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 2.8
3083
#38
15.62.0
8.810.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
5273
#48
10.70.3
8.68.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5715
#37
15.52.0
10.912.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0