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Red99
474419.2
221318.8
157445.6
Blue2
459012.0
308315.6
157615.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38280206080100120992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.65.1
17.522.6
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 29.7
1576
#28
15.92.4
11.08.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
4744
#22
19.25.1
10.015.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
3083
#38
15.62.4
8.86.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
2213
#19
18.85.1
10.315.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 6.8
4590
#44
12.02.4
10.78.3
Auto0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0