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Red8
43382.7
194623.6
267917.9
Blue68
46614.9
157445.6
383516.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38460100150200868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
#16
23.62.8
13.410.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 22.0
45.61.8
31.933.6
Auto0.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
2679
#18
17.92.8
20.117.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
3835
#32
16.71.8
7.99.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4338
#55
2.72.8
7.54.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4661
#51
4.91.8
6.98.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0