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Red71
165739.4
571515.5
567012.1
Blue8
563512.4
527310.7
513510.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552304080100120140160718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.1
23.225.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 27.0
5635
#39
12.41.7
9.67.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Second
5715
#37
15.52.1
12.915.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
5273
#48
10.71.7
8.26.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
5670
#33
12.12.1
16.218.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 1.9
5135
#43
10.21.7
11.19.3
Auto0.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0