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Red82
563512.4
475712.7
303418.3
Blue76
195411.5
474419.2
338822.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294501001508276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#30
18.34.3
13.717.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3388
#17
22.72.5
15.217.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
4757
#35
12.74.3
12.116.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4744
#22
19.22.5
17.219.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5635
#39
12.44.3
7.211.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 0.9
1954
#36
11.52.5
11.614.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0