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Red131
142121.6
395934.7
41079.5
Blue74
3426.2
258735.1
46396.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350208010012014013174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.73.8
24.728.5
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
35.12.9
18.421.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Second
1421
#18
21.66.4
17.924.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 4.6
34
#9
26.22.9
13.716.6
Auto1.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4107
#34
9.56.4
11.718.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
4639
#52
6.52.9
7.610.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0