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Red22
29734.1
53821.6
45536.9
Blue44
36435.9
384718.3
238351.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24940501502002244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
#11
21.60.7
13.012.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 29.7
51.32.1
38.136.0
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
4553
#49
6.90.7
11.510.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 28.9
364
#8
35.93.5
24.821.3
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
2973
#58
4.10.7
11.610.9
Auto0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 14.2
3847
#21
18.32.4
23.421.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0