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Red40
303937.1
459222.1
350215.9
Blue66
147732.4
395934.7
54699.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417901001502004066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#10
37.10.7
11.310.6
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
34.70.5
30.530.0
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
4592
#14
22.10.4
17.917.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 10.3
1477
#13
32.40.5
31.130.6
Auto0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
3502
#57
15.90.4
19.018.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
5469
#31
9.40.8
14.413.6
Auto0.8
Teleop8.6
End0.0